Momentum EOD
25K account · 25K sizing profile
Pass estimate75.90%4 sessions
PROP-FIRM PROBABILITIES
Choose your firm.
Compare your sizing.
These estimates model outcomes from the strategy testing. Compare evaluation pass estimates, funded target probabilities, sizing profiles, and typical active sessions to each target. The long-game options show smaller sizing profiles on larger accounts for traders willing to take a longer path.
The examples use three popular prop firms. You can choose any firm that works with NinjaTrader; compare its current rules with these examples and use the strategies at your own risk. Estimates shown here are for the named firm and setup.
FUNDEDSYNC STACK · BULENOX
Every modeled account and account type
Showing the evaluation pass estimates and funded target calculations for Bulenox.
Evaluation pass estimates
Momentum EOD
50K account · 50K sizing profile
Pass estimate75.10%4 sessions
Momentum EOD
100K account · 100K sizing profile
Pass estimate66.46%4 sessions
Momentum EOD
150K account · 150K sizing profile
Pass estimate72.72%5 sessions
Funded account targets
Each target shows estimated chance · typical successful active sessions.
Momentum EOD
25K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target73.08%5 sessions
$5K target69.84%15 sessions
$8K target69.78%25 sessions
$10K target69.78%32 sessions
$12K target69.78%38 sessions
Momentum EOD
50K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target80.34%3 sessions
$5K target71.44%7 sessions
$8K target69.54%12 sessions
$10K target69.24%15 sessions
$12K target69.18%19 sessions
Momentum EOD
100K account · 100K sizing profile
$2K target77.80%2 sessions
$5K target70.26%4 sessions
$8K target64%6 sessions
$10K target61.72%7 sessions
$12K target60.42%9 sessions
Momentum EOD
150K account · 150K sizing profile
$2K target81.60%2 sessions
$5K target77.70%3 sessions
$8K target73.14%4 sessions
$10K target71.04%5 sessions
$12K target69.70%6 sessions
TOP LONG-GAME SIZING · FUNDEDSYNC STACK
Highest modeled chance to reach $12K
One leading long-game option for each firm, selected by the existing $12K target estimates. Each card includes the full target path and typical successful-path timing.
Bulenox
Momentum EOD: 25K profile on 50K EOD
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target84%6 sessions
$5K target73.18%16 sessions
$8K target71.52%29 sessions
$10K target71.30%37 sessions
$12K target71.24%46 sessions
FundedNext
Flex: 50K profile on 150K EOD
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target78.56%4 sessions
$5K target68.86%8 sessions
$8K target61.54%12 sessions
$10K target59.02%15 sessions
$12K target57.44%19 sessions
Lucid
Direct: 50K profile on 150K EOD
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target85.52%4 sessions
$5K target80.68%9 sessions
$8K target73.52%13 sessions
$10K target70.94%17 sessions
$12K target69.70%21 sessions
See the other long-game sizing calculations
Bulenox
Momentum EOD: 50K profile on 150K EOD
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target86.42%4 sessions
$5K target82.16%9 sessions
$8K target75.64%14 sessions
$10K target72.82%18 sessions
$12K target71.14%22 sessions
FundedNext
Rapid Pro: 25K profile on 50K EOD
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target74.88%6 sessions
$5K target59.76%15 sessions
$8K target56.24%27 sessions
$10K target55.66%36 sessions
$12K target55.38%45 sessions
Lucid
Daily funded: 25K profile on 50K firm-funded drawdown
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target75.04%6 sessions
$5K target59.70%15 sessions
$8K target56.48%27 sessions
$10K target55.76%36 sessions
$12K target55.46%46 sessions
Lucid
Daily funded: 50K profile on 150K firm-funded drawdown
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target81.36%4 sessions
$5K target73.36%8 sessions
$8K target64.90%12 sessions
$10K target62.24%16 sessions
$12K target60.30%20 sessions
Lucid
Pro: 25K profile on 50K EOD
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target79.78%6 sessions
$5K target69.66%16 sessions
$8K target68.08%28 sessions
$10K target67.92%37 sessions
$12K target67.88%45 sessions
Lucid
Pro: 50K profile on 150K EOD
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target83.78%4 sessions
$5K target77.82%8 sessions
$8K target70.82%13 sessions
$10K target68.60%16 sessions
$12K target67.36%20 sessions
Lucid
Flex: 25K profile on 50K EOD
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target76%6 sessions
$5K target60.82%15 sessions
$8K target57.60%27 sessions
$10K target56.90%36 sessions
$12K target56.60%45 sessions
Lucid
Flex: 50K profile on 150K EOD
150K account · 50K sizing profile
$2K target81.88%4 sessions
$5K target75.62%8 sessions
$8K target66.80%13 sessions
$10K target64.28%16 sessions
$12K target62.36%20 sessions
Lucid
Direct: 25K profile on 50K EOD
50K account · 25K sizing profile
$2K target79.58%6 sessions
$5K target68.22%16 sessions
$8K target66.38%28 sessions
$10K target66.22%36 sessions
$12K target66.12%44 sessions
Calculated estimates based on the saved five-year historical testing model, including backtesting and the out-of-sample period. Session counts are median active strategy sessions among paths that reached each target. Actual payout timing also depends on the firm’s payout cycle. Results are not guaranteed.
DOWNLOADABLE TESTING DATA
Probability estimates & trade records
The first file is the modeled probability table shown on this page, including each firm, account type, account size, sizing profile, evaluation or funded phase, target probabilities, and median sessions. The other four files are the individual NinjaTrader Strategy Analyzer trades behind the historical testing—not prop-firm account statements.
Upload a CSV to an AI tool that accepts spreadsheets to inspect or summarize its contents. In the trade files, net-profit values include the fees applied in the test; commissions are itemized and should not be subtracted again. Slippage is reflected in simulated fills but is not a separate CSV field. Trade-data period: August 1, 2021–September 1, 2026; OOS: August 1, 2024–September 1, 2026.